A GEUS–Equinor research project

OMGCCS

Optimized Monitoring of Ground and Surface Water for CCS

Knowing where, what, and how often to monitor above onshore CO₂ storage — protecting groundwater, meeting regulation, building trust.

Funded by INNO-CCUS / Innovation Fund Denmark

OVERBURDENCAPROCKRESERVOIRCO₂ PLUMEINJECTION WELL

The challenge

Onshore geological CO₂ storage requires operators to demonstrate that no CO₂ or brine leaks beyond the storage complex — and public acceptance hinges on protecting drinking water and streams. But leakage effects in the near-surface are a needle in a haystack: highly localized signals that could appear anywhere across a large area, over decades of operation.

Conventional groundwater monitoring programmes cost 2–3 million DKK per site per year, potentially for 50 years. OMGCCS develops a model-informed methodology that answers where, what, and how often to monitor — reducing the number of monitoring locations, samples, and parameters by 35% would cut running costs by 73%, without compromising safety.

2–3 MDKK/yr

Typical monitoring cost per storage site

73%

Potential reduction in running costs

42 months

Project duration

The approach

WP1

Model the leakage pathways

Numerical models of CO₂ and brine migration from the reservoir along faults and legacy wells predict realistic leakage fluxes and where signals would first appear.

WP2

Measure what rock tells water

Laboratory experiments and field tests on local lithologies identify site-specific geochemical leakage indicators and their release rates.

WP3–4

A magnet into the haystack

Instead of dense grids of dedicated wells, monitoring targets that integrate signals from large groundwater volumes: water-supply wells and groundwater-fed streams. Reactive 3D transport models place each monitoring point where flow paths converge.

WP5

Machine learning on watch

ML anomaly detection flags subtle changes in the complex multiparameter monitoring stream over decades of operation — avoiding both missed events and false alarms.

AI-assisted geological modelling

The monitoring strategy is only as good as the geological model beneath it. OMGCCS builds a 3D model of the Havnsø–Stenlille area spanning from the storage reservoir up through the caprock, chalk, and overburden to the terrain surface — because that is the route any leak would take. The model integrates 14 depth-migrated seismic horizons and log data from 17 wells, and feeds an open-source simulation chain from full-field CO₂ injection to reactive transport along faults and wellbores.

The modelling workflow is AI-assisted and runs on a dedicated AI node at GEUS — confidential partner data never leaves GEUS infrastructure.

Open sourceThe full modelling chain runs on open-source simulation software — no proprietary lock-in.

The site

Work centers on Equinor's onshore CO₂ exploration license in the Kalundborg area, Zealand, Denmark — the Havnsø structure, with the Gassum Formation as the target reservoir. Decades of well and core data from the nearby Stenlille natural gas storage provide unique calibration, and new exploration data will become available during the project. The methodology is designed to generalize to other sites.

Drilling rig in the Havnsø area, Zealand, Denmark
Havnsø structure, Kalundborg area — Zealand, Denmark

Work packages & team

WPFocusLead
WP1Numerical modelling of CO₂ and brine influx via faults and wells into groundwaterNikolai Andrianov, GEUS
WP2Experiments on CO₂–rock interactions and signal-to-noise methodsHanne Dahl Holmslykke, GEUS
WP3Reactive 3D transport models for optimizing monitoring locations, methods, frequenciesRasmus Jakobsen, GEUS
WP4Produced waters and surface water as high-volume monitoring targetsRasmus Jakobsen, GEUS
WP5Machine-learning model for optimized long-term monitoringJulian Koch, GEUS
WP6Project managementRasmus Jakobsen, GEUS

Rasmus Jakobsen

Principal Investigator, Senior Researcher, GEUS

raj@geus.dk

Nikolai Andrianov

Co-PI, WP1 lead, Senior Advisor, GEUS

nia@geus.dk

Hanne Dahl Holmslykke

WP2 lead, GEUS

hdh@geus.dk

Julian Koch

WP5 lead, GEUS

juko@geus.dk

Equinor

Project partner, holder of the Kalundborg onshore CO₂ exploration license

Partners & funding

GEUSEquinorINNO-CCUSInnovation Fund Denmark

OMGCCS is funded by the INNO-CCUS partnership (Innovation Fund Denmark), addressing the mission theme “Monitoring and verification of CO₂ storage.”